No Credit Check :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Australia's Path Out of Recession: A Long Road Ahead

Australia's Path Out of Recession: A Long Road Ahead

Australia's Path Out of Recession: A Long Road Ahead?w=400
Australia is currently navigating its way out of what has been called the longest recession on record.
The nation has seen six consecutive quarters of declining per capita gross domestic product, indicating a sustained period of economic downturn.

A significant contributor to this decline has been the household sector. By the second quarter of 2024, there was a notable 2.4% reduction in real per capita household consumption from its peak level.

Alarmingly, real per capita household disposable income experienced an even steeper drop, plunging by approximately 8%, as shown in national accounts data. This marks the largest recorded decrease in Australia’s history.

In its latest economic outlook, encapsulated in the Red Book for October, Westpac predicts a slow recovery process from this recession. They highlight the harsh fall in per capita disposable income, which their analysis pegs at a dramatic 10% drop.

According to Westpac, “The combined effect of rising income tax payments, higher interest and the surge in inflation has produced a 4.8% drop in aggregate terms since Sep 2021 and an eye-watering 10% plunge in per capita terms.”

Westpac draws a stark comparison to the early 1990s recession, stating, “That is about double the size of the decline seen during the recession in the early-1990s (when the average mortgage interest rate was 15% and the unemployment rate spiked 4ppts on its way to an eventual peak of over 11%).”

There is a slightly improving consumer mood, bolstered by tax cuts and other governmental aid, and an optimistic shift in expectations for interest rates. “The consumer mood has become considerably less bleak, buoyed on the one hand by the additional cash in hand as tax cuts and other support measures flow through, and on the other by turning expectations for interest rates.”

Commenting on consumer sentiment, Westpac notes, “The most striking sentiment shift over the last three months has again been around consumer expectations for interest rates. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Mortgage Rate Expectations Index fell by a third between July and October.”

Despite these modest shifts in consumer sentiment, Westpac cautions that full economic recovery may proceed at a gradual pace. “The medium-term recovery process looks likely to be a slow one,” they warn.

Factors contributing to this sluggish recovery include a gentle easing cycle by the Reserve Bank of Australia, the slow rebound of household disposable incomes, and reduced use of savings reserves accrued during the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, deceleration in population growth poses another challenge.

Ultimately, Westpac concludes that despite some encouraging developments, the path to consumer recovery remains extensive. “Despite some more promising signs, the consumer recovery still has a long way to go.”

These insights and forecasts, grounded in Westpac’s research and national data, highlight the complex road to recovery facing Australia today, encouraging consumers and policymakers alike to brace for a protracted economic landscape.

Published:Friday, 1st Nov 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

ASX Listings Decline: A Sign of Shifting Investor Preferences ASX Listings Decline: A Sign of Shifting Investor Preferences
13 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

As 2024 draws to a close, the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) is facing a notable decline in the number of listed companies, a trend reflecting an increasing investor shift towards private markets. The ASX Group's Monthly Activity Report for November confirms a decrease in listings—from 2,191 companies at the year's start to 2,121 by the end of November, marking a net loss of 70 listings. - read more
RBA Signals Possible Rate Cut: Economic Relief on the Horizon RBA Signals Possible Rate Cut: Economic Relief on the Horizon
11 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) appears to be steering towards a change in monetary policy, hinting at a potential reduction in interest rates. This optimistic outlook arises from rising confidence in the fight against inflation beginning to tip in their favour. - read more
Business Confidence Plummets Amidst Economic Challenges Business Confidence Plummets Amidst Economic Challenges
10 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

In an unexpected turn of events, business confidence has experienced a substantial decline this November, marking a significant shift from last month's brief positive outlook, according to the National Australia Bank (NAB). A recent NAB survey revealed a notable drop in business confidence by eight points, taking it to minus three, accompanied by a five-point decline in business conditions. - read more
Rethinking Financial Advice: The Shift to Episodic Engagement Rethinking Financial Advice: The Shift to Episodic Engagement
09 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

Amid evolving client expectations, the financial services sector is seeing a major shift in how Australians prefer to receive financial advice. Emerging evidence suggests that episodic, one-time consultations are becoming more favored over traditional full-service options. - read more
Leadership Transition at ANZ: Nuno Matos Takes the Helm Leadership Transition at ANZ: Nuno Matos Takes the Helm
09 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

The banking world is set for a significant shift as Shayne Elliott, the esteemed chief executive of Australia and New Zealand Bank, relinquishes his role after nearly a decade of strategic leadership and transformation. Elliott first joined ANZ in 2009, navigating through roles of global managing director and chief financial officer before taking up the chief executive mantle in 2015. - read more
Australia's Long-Term Mortgage Strategy: A Double-Edged Sword Australia's Long-Term Mortgage Strategy: A Double-Edged Sword
06 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

Housing affordability in Australia is hitting unprecedented lows as both buying and renting costs continue to surge. In response to this crisis, financial institutions are rolling out new strategies designed to make mortgages more accessible, albeit with long-range financial implications for consumers. - read more
Australian Dollar Tumbles Amid Global Economic Shifts Australian Dollar Tumbles Amid Global Economic Shifts
05 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

As global market dynamics continue to shift, the Australian dollar has recently plummeted, reaching a six-month low. Investors are closely monitoring these developments, considering the various forces at play and their potential impacts. - read more
AMP's Transition Showcases Adviser-Centric Rebranding Strategy AMP's Transition Showcases Adviser-Centric Rebranding Strategy
03 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

AMP is undergoing a significant transformation, with a forthcoming rebrand of AMP Advice and AMP Financial Planning. Spearheaded by Matt Lawler, now CEO of what is tentatively called NewCo, this transition includes working closely with advisers to ensure their voices are essential in shaping the future of the brand. 'This process is set to be particularly democratic,' said Lawler, highlighting the collaborative approach. - read more
Reserve Bank Anticipates Significant Rate Reduction Reserve Bank Anticipates Significant Rate Reduction
03 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is poised to decrease the official cash rate by a notable 50 basis points this week. This action comes on the heels of a cumulative 75 basis points reduction across the last two monetary policy discussions. - read more
RBA Board Overhaul Raises Questions RBA Board Overhaul Raises Questions
02 Dec 2024: Paige Estritori

The recent decision to reconfigure the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) leadership structure presents both opportunities and challenges, particularly in the ongoing battle against inflation. Dr. Shane Oliver, Chief Economist at AMP, has voiced concerns that easing inflation control measures could tarnish the bank's credibility. - read more


Finance Articles

Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding the mechanics behind credit scores is pivotal for anyone navigating the intricate world of finance. A strong credit score does not only unlock the gates to a plethora of borrowing options but also secures favorable interest rates, which can save you a substantial amount of money over time. It acts as a financial passport, one that enables you to achieve milestones such as purchasing a home or car with ease. - read more
Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know
As we navigate the complexities of today's economy, the significance of credit can scarcely be overstated. Whether we're considering a home mortgage, a new car, or managing our personal finances, our credit health often dictates the terms and accessibility of financial support. A robust credit score can open doors to favorable loan terms and rates, while a poor score can narrow our options and cost us more in the long run. - read more
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
When embarking on the journey to secure financing, particularly for significant purchases such as a car, your credit score takes center stage in the eyes of lenders. A credit score is a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, derived from your financial history and behaviors. It wields substantial influence on your ability to acquire loans with favorable terms. - read more
Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia
Choosing the right loan can be a pivotal decision in your personal financial journey. In Australia, where a diverse range of loan options is available, selecting the loan that aligns perfectly with your needs is more crucial than ever. A judicious choice can help you fulfill your dreams—be it buying a new home, investing in education, or consolidating debt—while ensuring that the repayments remain manageable and do not lead to financial strain. - read more
Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments
Managing personal finances judiciously becomes paramount when dealing with loans and their repayments. A potential obstacle many encounter is preserving or enhancing their credit score while simultaneously undertaking the necessary financial commitments of loan repayments. Understanding how to navigate this terrain is vital to financial health. - read more
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more
Navigating Financial Uncertainty: Tips for Managing Money Worries Navigating Financial Uncertainty: Tips for Managing Money Worries
Financial stress is a common issue that affects a large portion of individuals, often due to unexpected expenses, unemployment, or a high cost of living. It can lead to both mental and emotional strain, influencing one's quality of life and decision-making abilities. Credit scores, a critical measurement of financial health, are used by lenders to evaluate the risk of lending money. - read more
Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan
Understanding the nuances of financial health is a crucial component in the journey of loan acquisition. It is the bedrock on which potential borrowers build their case for credibility and reliability. Among the myriad of factors influencing your fiscal stability, credit scores stand out as a beacon indicating your creditworthiness to lenders. A robust credit score simplifies the path to securing loans, garnering favorable interest rates, and negotiating better terms. - read more
How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly
Financial health refers to the state of one's personal financial situation. It encompasses a variety of factors, such as income stability, expenses control, savings, investments, and debt management. - read more
Understanding No-Credit-Check Loans: A Lifeline for Managing Financial Stress Wisely Understanding No-Credit-Check Loans: A Lifeline for Managing Financial Stress Wisely
Financial stress can feel like an unstoppable force, a cycle of worry that impacts not only our peace of mind but also our fiscal health. It represents the anxiety and pressure associated with the inability to meet financial obligations, be it due to unforeseen expenses, unemployment, or a plethora of other reasons. - read more
Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding the mechanics behind credit scores is pivotal for anyone navigating the intricate world of finance. A strong credit score does not only unlock the gates to a plethora of borrowing options but also secures favorable interest rates, which can save you a substantial amount of money over time. It acts as a financial passport, one that enables you to achieve milestones such as purchasing a home or car with ease. - read more
How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly
Financial health refers to the state of one's personal financial situation. It encompasses a variety of factors, such as income stability, expenses control, savings, investments, and debt management. - read more
Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage
Embarking on the journey to secure a loan can feel like navigating a minefield with your credit score as the prize. It's no secret that your credit score is your financial fingerprint, impacting not just your loan prospects but also the terms you're offered. However, the act of loan hunting itself, if not done carefully, can take a toll on this crucial number. - read more
Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know
As we navigate the complexities of today's economy, the significance of credit can scarcely be overstated. Whether we're considering a home mortgage, a new car, or managing our personal finances, our credit health often dictates the terms and accessibility of financial support. A robust credit score can open doors to favorable loan terms and rates, while a poor score can narrow our options and cost us more in the long run. - read more
How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious
When it comes to securing a loan, the terms you agree to can have a lasting impact on your financial wellness. It's crucial to strike a balance between finding a loan that fits your needs and maintaining a healthy credit score. This delicate equilibrium is where loan comparison tools come into play, serving as navigational aids in the vast sea of credit options. - read more
Understanding No-Credit-Check Loans: A Lifeline for Managing Financial Stress Wisely Understanding No-Credit-Check Loans: A Lifeline for Managing Financial Stress Wisely
Financial stress can feel like an unstoppable force, a cycle of worry that impacts not only our peace of mind but also our fiscal health. It represents the anxiety and pressure associated with the inability to meet financial obligations, be it due to unforeseen expenses, unemployment, or a plethora of other reasons. - read more
Navigating Financial Uncertainty: Tips for Managing Money Worries Navigating Financial Uncertainty: Tips for Managing Money Worries
Financial stress is a common issue that affects a large portion of individuals, often due to unexpected expenses, unemployment, or a high cost of living. It can lead to both mental and emotional strain, influencing one's quality of life and decision-making abilities. Credit scores, a critical measurement of financial health, are used by lenders to evaluate the risk of lending money. - read more
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
When embarking on the journey to secure financing, particularly for significant purchases such as a car, your credit score takes center stage in the eyes of lenders. A credit score is a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, derived from your financial history and behaviors. It wields substantial influence on your ability to acquire loans with favorable terms. - read more
Understanding Soft Inquiries: How to Check Loan Options Without Affecting Your Credit Score Understanding Soft Inquiries: How to Check Loan Options Without Affecting Your Credit Score
Soft inquiries are a type of credit check that does not impact your credit score. These checks occur when you or a company reviews your credit report as part of a background check, pre-approval process, or other non-lending purpose. - read more
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!
Loan Amount:
Postcode:
All finance quotes are provided free and without obligation. We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Loan Application Fees:
Fees that are charged to cover or partially cover the lender's internal costs of setting up a loan approval for a home buyer.


Quick Links: | Personal Loans | Car Loans | Bike Loans | Boat Loans | Truck Loans | Home Loans | Business Loans | Debt Consolidation