No Credit Check :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Inflation's Tug of War: Implications for Rate Hikes in August

Inflation's Tug of War: Implications for Rate Hikes in August

Inflation's Tug of War: Implications for Rate Hikes in August?w=400

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

With inflation persistently on the rise, Australian homeowners brace for potential interest rate hikes as early as August.
New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics indicates that inflation remained at a worrisome 4% annually by May 2024, causing increasing concern among economists and the general public alike.

The most dramatic rises were noted in housing (up 5.2%), alcohol and tobacco (up 6.7%), and transportation (up 4.9%). With these figures, inflation has climbed from 3.4% in February to its current position, leading many experts to predict imminent rate adjustments.

This adverse inflation report has prompted many, including Betashares' chief economist David Bassanese, to foresee significant upward pressure on interest rates. "The annual inflation measures have stuck stubbornly around 4%, and this spells trouble for controlling economic stability," noted Bassanese.

For Deutsche Bank, the expectation is clear: a rise in interest rates to around 4.6% is on the cards at the August meeting. Factors compounding the inflation issue include unexpectedly high immigration, significant infrastructure projects, and elevated costs in health and personal services, among others.

  1. Higher costs in housing and basic services.
  2. Continued pressure on energy prices due to climate change.
  3. Failing government policies exacerbating the issue.

Despite weak consumer spending, these entrenched inflation drivers have forced analysts like Bassanese to acknowledge profound systemic failures at both federal and state levels. Adding to these woes, the reluctance of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to reduce rates anytime soon could see future hikes implemented to combat prolonged inflationary tendencies.

Financial services leader Steve Mickenbecker from Canstar also warned that the RBA is gearing up for potential increases. He argues that with scant indicators of inflation nearing the target range, delaying any hikes would unnecessarily prolong economic pain for borrowers. For instance, a modest rate hike of 0.25% could elevate monthly repayments on a $600,000 home loan by $100.

Furthermore, tax cuts and living cost relief measures set to commence next month may spur further consumer spending, countering the RBA's efforts to restrain household expenses. Moody's Analytics' Harry Murphy Cruise expressed concerns that most household savings will possibly be spent quickly and could intensify inflationary pressures.

Economist Anneke Thompson of CreditorWatch further elaborates that the unprecedented migration levels have driven up demand across non-discretionary services and housing, prompting businesses within these sectors to hike prices. While a slowdown in net migration is anticipated, the impact on broader economic equilibrium will take time.

Meanwhile, KPMG’s chief economist Brendan Rynne believes the RBA may not rush to push rates even higher but predicts they will remain elevated for an extended period. He’s talking about the first significant rate cuts only being feasible by February 2025.

Rynne further correlates Australia's inflation trajectory with the US, which had experienced similar inflation patterns with a slight time lag. Notably, the US saw a biphasic inflation curve - with a resurgence before a subsequent decline, a pattern Australia might similarly follow.

In addressing the broader economic implications, RBA Assistant Governor Chris Kent acknowledged the challenge higher rates pose for families, suggesting that present cash rates are already in restrictive territory. According to Paul Bloxham, HSBC’s chief economist, this assertion aligns with the RBA's wary stance against tightening further while simultaneously achieving economic balance.

Published:Saturday, 29th Jun 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

APRA Implements Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans
APRA Implements Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans
09 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change to address emerging risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will impose a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting such loans to 20% of new home lending portfolios. This proactive measure aims to curb potential financial instability arising from escalating property prices and increased credit growth. - read more
ASIC Investigates Private Lending Sector Amid Rapid Expansion
ASIC Investigates Private Lending Sector Amid Rapid Expansion
09 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has intensified its scrutiny of the private lending sector, following a period of rapid growth and increasing investor interest. This move comes in response to concerns about transparency, risk management, and the potential impact on the broader financial system. - read more
Investor Lending Reaches New Heights in Australia's Housing Market
Investor Lending Reaches New Heights in Australia's Housing Market
09 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori
Australia's housing market is witnessing a significant surge in investor lending, with recent data indicating that investors now account for two in every five new home loans. This trend has raised concerns about housing affordability and the potential for market instability. - read more
RBA's October 2025 Review Highlights Australia's Financial Resilience
RBA's October 2025 Review Highlights Australia's Financial Resilience
01 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has released its October 2025 Financial Stability Review, providing a comprehensive assessment of the nation's financial health. The report underscores the resilience of Australia's financial system, even amidst elevated global uncertainties. Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! - read more
Australian Lenders Tighten Policies on Trust and Company Lending
Australian Lenders Tighten Policies on Trust and Company Lending
01 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori
In a significant shift within Australia's financial sector, major lenders Macquarie Bank and the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) have recently implemented stricter policies regarding lending to trusts and companies. These changes reflect a broader trend towards more cautious lending practices in response to regulatory concerns and market dynamics. Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! - read more
RBA Advises Caution in Lending Amid Improved Borrower Finances
RBA Advises Caution in Lending Amid Improved Borrower Finances
01 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has highlighted the need for continued caution in lending practices, even as data indicates an improvement in borrowers' financial health. This advisory comes in the context of a dynamic economic environment where both opportunities and risks coexist. - read more
APRA's New Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans Explained
APRA's New Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans Explained
24 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will impose a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting such loans to 20% of new home lending portfolios. This measure is designed to address concerns over escalating property prices and the potential for financial instability. - read more
ASIC's Findings on Private Lending: What Investors Need to Know
ASIC's Findings on Private Lending: What Investors Need to Know
24 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has raised significant concerns regarding the private lending sector, emphasising the need for enhanced transparency and adherence to best practices. This scrutiny comes in response to the sector's rapid growth and its increasing role in the financial market. Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! - read more
The Rise of Non-Bank Lenders: Flexible Options for Australian Borrowers
The Rise of Non-Bank Lenders: Flexible Options for Australian Borrowers
24 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori
In the evolving landscape of Australia's financial sector, non-bank lenders are experiencing a surge in popularity among borrowers seeking more flexible loan terms. This trend is particularly notable among individuals who may not meet the stringent criteria set by traditional banks. Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! - read more
APRA Implements Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans
APRA Implements Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans
16 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change to address emerging risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will impose a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting such loans to 20% of new home lending portfolios. This proactive measure aims to curb potential financial instability arising from escalating property prices and increased credit growth. - read more


Finance Articles

Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more
Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding the mechanics behind credit scores is pivotal for anyone navigating the intricate world of finance. A strong credit score does not only unlock the gates to a plethora of borrowing options but also secures favorable interest rates, which can save you a substantial amount of money over time. It acts as a financial passport, one that enables you to achieve milestones such as purchasing a home or car with ease. - read more
Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know
Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know
As we navigate the complexities of today's economy, the significance of credit can scarcely be overstated. Whether we're considering a home mortgage, a new car, or managing our personal finances, our credit health often dictates the terms and accessibility of financial support. A robust credit score can open doors to favorable loan terms and rates, while a poor score can narrow our options and cost us more in the long run. - read more
Understanding Soft Inquiries: How to Check Loan Options Without Affecting Your Credit Score
Understanding Soft Inquiries: How to Check Loan Options Without Affecting Your Credit Score
Soft inquiries are a type of credit check that does not impact your credit score. These checks occur when you or a company reviews your credit report as part of a background check, pre-approval process, or other non-lending purpose. - read more
Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia
Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia
Choosing the right loan can be a pivotal decision in your personal financial journey. In Australia, where a diverse range of loan options is available, selecting the loan that aligns perfectly with your needs is more crucial than ever. A judicious choice can help you fulfill your dreams—be it buying a new home, investing in education, or consolidating debt—while ensuring that the repayments remain manageable and do not lead to financial strain. - read more
How to Create a Budget that Keeps Your Debt in Check
How to Create a Budget that Keeps Your Debt in Check
Managing debt is a cornerstone of financial wellness. Whether it's credit card debt, student loans, or a mortgage, keeping debt in check helps you maintain a healthy financial state. High levels of debt can lead to financial stress, impacting your overall well-being and limiting your ability to save for future goals. - read more
What to Do if You've Been Denied a Loan Due to Your Credit Score
What to Do if You've Been Denied a Loan Due to Your Credit Score
Your credit score is a critical number that plays a significant role in your financial life. It represents your creditworthiness, or in simpler terms, how reliable you are in repaying borrowed money. - read more
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
When embarking on the journey to secure financing, particularly for significant purchases such as a car, your credit score takes center stage in the eyes of lenders. A credit score is a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, derived from your financial history and behaviors. It wields substantial influence on your ability to acquire loans with favorable terms. - read more
Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage
Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage
Embarking on the journey to secure a loan can feel like navigating a minefield with your credit score as the prize. It's no secret that your credit score is your financial fingerprint, impacting not just your loan prospects but also the terms you're offered. However, the act of loan hunting itself, if not done carefully, can take a toll on this crucial number. - read more
How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious
How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious
When it comes to securing a loan, the terms you agree to can have a lasting impact on your financial wellness. It's crucial to strike a balance between finding a loan that fits your needs and maintaining a healthy credit score. This delicate equilibrium is where loan comparison tools come into play, serving as navigational aids in the vast sea of credit options. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!
Loan Amount:
Postcode:

All quotes are provided free and without obligation by a Specialist from our National Broker referral panel. See our Privacy Statement for more details.

All finance quotes are provided free and without obligation. We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Personal Loan:
A Personal Loan is a means of obtaining finance from a financial institution or financial product provider and the lending criteria usually depends on criteria such as personal income and expenses, assets and liabilities, employment status and previo


Quick Links: | No Credit Check Loans | Personal Loans No Credit Check | Bad Credit Loans | Business Loans No Credit Check | Fast Cash Loans Australia | Unsecured Loans | Guaranteed Approval Loans | Short Term Loans | Emergency Loans | Same Day Loans