No Credit Check :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Impact of Budget on Borrowers: A Deep Dive

Impact of Budget on Borrowers: A Deep Dive

Concerns are mounting among financial experts that the latest federal budget could prompt a rise in interest rates, adding to the challenges faced by borrowers.

Economists have critiqued the 2024 budget for its "stimulative" nature, igniting fears it may counteract the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) efforts to control inflation. This unexpected budgetary shift has led to speculation of potential interest rate hikes rather than impending cuts, which had been anticipated earlier this year.

David Bassanese, Betashares' chief economist, highlighted the increased fiscal spending as a surprising move, given the current economic climate. "The substantial fiscal expansion seen in the budget, particularly in cost-of-living support, appears to have encouraged higher spending in other areas, possibly underestimating the RBA's tolerance for such policies," he observed.

From a balance sheet perspective, the deficit is projected to jump from $9 billion to a staggering $28 billion in the 2024-25 period. This shift, equaling about 1.3% of GDP, signifies a pronounced swing towards fiscal stimulus, raising concerns about further inflationary pressures.

Furthermore, household disposable income is predicted to rise by 3.5% in the next fiscal year, boosted by tax reductions and an energy rebate of $300. Yet, this does not align with the forecasted 2% increase in consumer spending. Mr. Bassanese warned that if households decide to spend rather than save this windfall, the odds of increased interest rates could climb significantly.

Current estimates now put the probability of a rate hike before the next federal election at 40%, a substantial increase from the previous 10%. The unpredictability of how Australians will utilize their enhanced disposable income keeps both economists and policymakers on edge.

According to Stephen Halmarick, Commonwealth Bank's chief economist, the renewed fiscal approach renders earlier expectations of rate cuts – foreseen to begin as early as November – tenuous. The bank's internal estimates had initially projected a drop to 3% by the end of 2025, but these seem increasingly optimistic.

Budget papers reveal an anticipated modest cash rate reduction of 0.75% by 2026, decreasing from the current rates still north of 4%. This gradual easing may now be viewed in a new light, with inflationary pressures potentially suppressing any significant rate cuts over the short term.

Attention has also been drawn to various initiatives within the budget, especially a $23 billion fund for sectors including green hydrogen and critical minerals, aimed at energizing the domestic economy. However, critics argue that in an employment landscape marked by shortages, such expansive policies could further aggravate inflation.

Carlos Cacho, chief economist at Jarden, estimates the budget will inject an additional $30 billion in fiscal stimulus, risking an upward spiral in inflation. KPMG's Brendan Rynne shares this view, describing the budget as creating "upward pressure on inflation," supported by policies that may only temporarily mask the true economic impact until post-election.

The Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry's Andrew McKellar echoed these sentiments, asserting that enlarging government size and expenditure could lead to increased costs and taxes, thus complicating the economic landscape for businesses.

Despite the prevailing concern, Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP, indicated that while the risk of prolonged higher rates remains, there is still a probability of rate reductions starting November. Westpac's economists, on the other hand, argue the budget's specifics should not fundamentally alter the RBA's timeline for potential rate cuts.

The intricate balance between fiscal policies and market reactions makes it crucial for stakeholders to stay informed and prepared for various economic scenarios that lie ahead.

Published:Monday, 20th May 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Gen X's Struggle with Retirement Savings: A Battle Against Inflation and Debt Gen X's Struggle with Retirement Savings: A Battle Against Inflation and Debt
20 Jun 2024: Paige Estritori

A recent report by Natixis Investment Managers highlights that Generation X's retirement aspirations are being significantly hindered by financial pressures. The findings, derived from a collaborative survey with CoreData Research, underscore the impact of inflation and debt on this generation's financial stability. - read more
Australian Businesses Face Hefty Card Scheme Fees as Pressure Mounts for Transparency Australian Businesses Face Hefty Card Scheme Fees as Pressure Mounts for Transparency
19 Jun 2024: Paige Estritori

Rising service charges affecting Australian businesses have sharpened calls for increased transparency and regulation in the payment card industry. - read more
ASIC's Crypto Crackdown Intensifies: Appeals Federal Court Verdict ASIC's Crypto Crackdown Intensifies: Appeals Federal Court Verdict
19 Jun 2024: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has escalated its efforts in regulating crypto-related activities by appealing a significant Federal Court decision. This move underscores the regulator's robust stance against crypto products circumventing financial regulations. - read more
RBA Holds Steady: Navigating Economic Uncertainty RBA Holds Steady: Navigating Economic Uncertainty
19 Jun 2024: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has opted to maintain the official cash rate at 4.35% for the fourth consecutive time this year, a decision that comes amidst a complex balancing act to manage inflation’s differential impacts on various demographics. - read more
Commonwealth Bank Adjusts Rate Cut Timeline Amidst Labor Market Trends Commonwealth Bank Adjusts Rate Cut Timeline Amidst Labor Market Trends
15 Jun 2024: Paige Estritori

As financial experts eagerly await the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) upcoming board meeting, the Commonwealth Bank (CBA) has shifted its forecast regarding the advent of the next rate cut. Contrary to popular anticipation, the bank now predicts the rate cut will be delayed, posing less optimistic news for mortgage holders seeking financial reprieve. - read more
Economy's Chill: Aussie Consumers Tighten Purse Strings Further Economy's Chill: Aussie Consumers Tighten Purse Strings Further
09 Jun 2024: Paige Estritori

The economic climate in Australia seems to be cooling down even further as new data reveals that consumer spending continues to contract sharply. This downturn indicates a deeper recession gripping Aussie households. - read more
Top Performers and Lagging Brands Revealed in Electric Car Market Top Performers and Lagging Brands Revealed in Electric Car Market
31 May 2024: Paige Estritori

The battle for supremacy in the global electric car market remains fiercely contested with Tesla and BYD continuing to vie for the leading position. However, a recent study has highlighted a diverse performance spectrum among popular car brands, with some traditional giants lagging behind. - read more
Inflation Data Spurs Talks on Future Interest Rates Inflation Data Spurs Talks on Future Interest Rates
27 May 2024: Paige Estritori

As Australians wrestle with persistent cost-of-living challenges and elevated interest rates, there may be some optimism on the horizon with expected reductions in inflation rates. - read more
Impact of Budget on Borrowers: A Deep Dive Impact of Budget on Borrowers: A Deep Dive
20 May 2024: Paige Estritori

Concerns are mounting among financial experts that the latest federal budget could prompt a rise in interest rates, adding to the challenges faced by borrowers. - read more
Rookies in Real Estate: Albanese Budget Misses First-Time Buyers Rookies in Real Estate: Albanese Budget Misses First-Time Buyers
18 May 2024: Paige Estritori

The Albanese government's latest housing budget injects billions into housing, aiming to energize the construction of new homes. However, an important demographic has been left disappointed: first-time home buyers who feel sidelined amidst these changes. - read more


Finance Articles

Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding the mechanics behind credit scores is pivotal for anyone navigating the intricate world of finance. A strong credit score does not only unlock the gates to a plethora of borrowing options but also secures favorable interest rates, which can save you a substantial amount of money over time. It acts as a financial passport, one that enables you to achieve milestones such as purchasing a home or car with ease. - read more
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more
Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage
Embarking on the journey to secure a loan can feel like navigating a minefield with your credit score as the prize. It's no secret that your credit score is your financial fingerprint, impacting not just your loan prospects but also the terms you're offered. However, the act of loan hunting itself, if not done carefully, can take a toll on this crucial number. - read more
Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments
Managing personal finances judiciously becomes paramount when dealing with loans and their repayments. A potential obstacle many encounter is preserving or enhancing their credit score while simultaneously undertaking the necessary financial commitments of loan repayments. Understanding how to navigate this terrain is vital to financial health. - read more
Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan
Understanding the nuances of financial health is a crucial component in the journey of loan acquisition. It is the bedrock on which potential borrowers build their case for credibility and reliability. Among the myriad of factors influencing your fiscal stability, credit scores stand out as a beacon indicating your creditworthiness to lenders. A robust credit score simplifies the path to securing loans, garnering favorable interest rates, and negotiating better terms. - read more
Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia
Choosing the right loan can be a pivotal decision in your personal financial journey. In Australia, where a diverse range of loan options is available, selecting the loan that aligns perfectly with your needs is more crucial than ever. A judicious choice can help you fulfill your dreams—be it buying a new home, investing in education, or consolidating debt—while ensuring that the repayments remain manageable and do not lead to financial strain. - read more
How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious
When it comes to securing a loan, the terms you agree to can have a lasting impact on your financial wellness. It's crucial to strike a balance between finding a loan that fits your needs and maintaining a healthy credit score. This delicate equilibrium is where loan comparison tools come into play, serving as navigational aids in the vast sea of credit options. - read more
How Credit Card Balance Transfers Can Damage Your Credit Rating How Credit Card Balance Transfers Can Damage Your Credit Rating
Since the banks and finance providers have been castigated for the way they seemingly indiscriminately awarded credit to people who could ill afford it, the chances of being accepted for loans and credit cards have decreased. Concurrently, there is a greater focus on individual's being aware of how credit works and what their financial behaviors means in terms of a credit score and history. - read more
7 things you need to know about a Hire Purchase loan 7 things you need to know about a Hire Purchase loan
There are seven things you should know before you ever think of getting a Hire Purchase loan. Knowing these things will give you control and power in the loan process. Power and control will will save you money - read more
Maximizing Your Money: Top Financial Tips for Young Adults Maximizing Your Money: Top Financial Tips for Young Adults
Financial literacy is a critical skill for young adults, as it provides a strong foundation for achieving financial stability and independence. Unfortunately, personal finance education is not always a part of the high school curriculum, leaving many young people lacking the essential knowledge needed to manage their finances. Although some states have made progress by requiring personal finance or economics courses for high school graduation, there is still a significant gap in financial literacy among this age group. - read more
How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious
When it comes to securing a loan, the terms you agree to can have a lasting impact on your financial wellness. It's crucial to strike a balance between finding a loan that fits your needs and maintaining a healthy credit score. This delicate equilibrium is where loan comparison tools come into play, serving as navigational aids in the vast sea of credit options. - read more
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more
Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding the mechanics behind credit scores is pivotal for anyone navigating the intricate world of finance. A strong credit score does not only unlock the gates to a plethora of borrowing options but also secures favorable interest rates, which can save you a substantial amount of money over time. It acts as a financial passport, one that enables you to achieve milestones such as purchasing a home or car with ease. - read more
Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage
Embarking on the journey to secure a loan can feel like navigating a minefield with your credit score as the prize. It's no secret that your credit score is your financial fingerprint, impacting not just your loan prospects but also the terms you're offered. However, the act of loan hunting itself, if not done carefully, can take a toll on this crucial number. - read more
Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia Choosing the Right Loan for Your Personal Needs in Australia
Choosing the right loan can be a pivotal decision in your personal financial journey. In Australia, where a diverse range of loan options is available, selecting the loan that aligns perfectly with your needs is more crucial than ever. A judicious choice can help you fulfill your dreams—be it buying a new home, investing in education, or consolidating debt—while ensuring that the repayments remain manageable and do not lead to financial strain. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!
Loan Amount:
Postcode:
All finance quotes are provided free and without obligation. We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Personal Loan:
A personal loan is usually made by a financial institution to an individual person without the need for the provision of asset security. Personal loans can generally be obtained for any worthwhile purpose subject to the lending criteria of the financ


Quick Links: | Personal Loans | Car Loans | Bike Loans | Boat Loans | Truck Loans | Home Loans | Business Loans | Debt Consolidation