Tesla's Longest Decline Amid Musk's Washington Role
Tesla's Longest Decline Amid Musk's Washington Role
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In an unprecedented turn of events, Tesla's shares have been on a consistent downward trend for seven weeks running-marking the longest losing streak in the company's history since it went public 15 years ago.
This slump coincides with Elon Musk's active role in the Trump administration since his move to Washington.
On Friday, Tesla's stocks closed at $US270.48 ($428), plummeting over 10% within the week, reaching their lowest since the previous November's election day when shares were at $US251.44.
The stock's value has drastically declined from its peak of almost $US480 in December, losing a staggering $US800 billion in market capitalization.
Wall Street's response to this decline has been tangible, with major firms such as Bank of America, Baird, and Goldman Sachs reducing their price targets for Tesla. Bank of America's analysts highlighted falling new vehicle sales and the absence of updates on a potential low-cost model as significant concerns, reducing their target from $US490 to $US380. Similarly, Goldman Sachs revised their price target from $US345 to $US320, citing dropping electric vehicle sales in critical markets, including Europe, China, and the US.
The competitive landscape for Tesla, especially in China regarding its Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature, appears to be another pressure point. This partially automated system is sold as a premium option in the US, while competitors in China offer similar smart driving technologies without additional software costs.
The decline in Tesla's stock and the shifting business dynamics underscore the broader challenges the company faces in maintaining its market position. Musk's political involvement and the partnerships he forms in Washington could imply uncertainties affecting the company's consumer demand and investor confidence. Additionally, Musk's affiliation with the Trump administration, coupled with his polarizing public statements, may contribute to rising anti-Musk and anti-Tesla sentiments, evident through protests and vandalism at Tesla facilities in both the US and Europe.
These developments come at a pivotal moment when Tesla needs to strategically navigate production adjustments for its new Model Y SUV and counterbalance Musk's controversial public persona, which could adversely impact the brand's public perception and products' desirability.
Looking forward, the implications for Tesla could be multifaceted. Investor focus might shift further from Musk's political involvements to Tesla's core business metrics and competitive positioning. Moreover, proposals for Musk's dismissal as CEO, as put forth by publications like Cleantechnica, could gather more traction if public sentiment continues to skew negatively.
Despite the market collapse, there are still optimistic outlooks, with Wedbush Securities recognizing this downturn as a strategic buying opportunity, adding Tesla to its "Best Ideas" list and setting a 12-month price target at $US550. The situation presents a "gut check moment" for Musk's supporters and investors, as termed by Wedbush's Dan Ives, necessitating a recalibration of expectations and a re-evaluation of Tesla's trajectory amidst the global shift in sentiment.
Published:Monday, 10th Mar 2025 Source: Paige Estritori
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Discount Rate: The interest rate used to determine the present value of future cash flows, often used in discounted cash flow analysis.