Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

0

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

House Ownership in Melbourne: A Growing Challenge 30 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori In Melbourne, the dream of owning a standalone house is slipping away for many potential buyers. The disparity between house and unit values has become increasingly pronounced, making detached homes a distant goal for many. According to data from CoreLogic, as of December 2024, typical Melbourne houses cost buyers 51.1%—or $310,202—more than units. - read more

China's AI Surprise Sends Shockwaves Through Global Markets 28 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori As China continues to sharpen its technological edge, a new development has sent ripples across global financial markets. Investors worldwide are re-evaluating their positions following the debut of DeepSeek, a Chinese tech startup, which has introduced a free, open-source artificial intelligence model that directly challenges OpenAI's ChatGPT. - read more

Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape 28 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori The property market across Australia’s capital cities is showing signs of significant change as new data from CoreLogic reveals diverse trends in housing values. Sydney and Melbourne have seen their daily dwelling values index slip by 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively, in the past month. - read more

Turbulent Times Ahead for Australian Consumers 23 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori Australian households are bracing for a challenging economic phase as a series of factors converge to influence consumer spending habits. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia's recent insights reveal that household expenditure, which had shown signs of normalizing, might face substantial headwinds in the foreseeable future. - read more

Markets Brace for Trumpflation as Rate Cut Mirage Fades 22 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori As Donald Trump embarks on his second presidential term, investors are shifting focus from a prolonged rate reduction period to what is being called 'Trumpflation'. This marks a notable shift towards anticipating inflationary pressures under Trump's pro-growth policies. - read more

RBA's Tug of War with Australia's Market Growth 21 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori As Australia's Reserve Bank grapples with economic challenges, its decisive interest rate hikes have led to a contraction in demand, achieving their intended result but with considerable impact on the private sector. - read more

Thousands of Australians Turning to Debt Help Services Amid Financial Crisis 17 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori A significant increase in the number of Australians reaching out for debt assistance is reshaping the financial landscape of the country. As the cost of living surges and interest rates climb, many individuals are finding it increasingly challenging to manage their finances. - read more

Consumer Confidence Takes a Hit Amid Economic Uncertainty 15 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori In a recent shift, consumer sentiment has experienced a noticeable decline as January brings a wave of pessimism about the economy. This change in mood among consumers could signal challenges ahead for various sectors, particularly in retail and discretionary spending. - read more

ASIC Unveils Updated Guidance to Strengthen Financial Advice Standards 14 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has rolled out a fresh set of guidelines aimed at enhancing the quality of financial advice in the wake of significant legislative reforms. This move aligns with the recently enacted Treasury Laws Amendments (Delivering Better Financial Outcomes and Other Measures) Act 2024, which is designed to foster better financial outcomes for consumers. - read more

Adviser Qualifications Surge as 2026 Deadline Approaches 14 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori With the looming 2026 deadline for financial advisers to upgrade their qualifications, nearly 3,000 existing advisers in Australia are ramping up efforts to meet educational requirements. The industry is seeing a significant influx of postgraduate students aiming to secure their credentials by January 1st, 2026. - read more