RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion — it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Hardship Support Moves Higher on the Lending Watchlist

26 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s credit sector is facing renewed pressure to treat financial hardship as a core borrower protection, not a back-office process. The latest lending market focus is on how quickly and fairly credit providers respond when customers say they are struggling, especially as household budgets remain stretched by rent, utilities, groceries and existing debt commitments. - read more

Buy Now Pay Later Rules Are Changing for Australian Borrowers

19 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia's buy now pay later sector is moving into a more regulated era, with providers being brought closer to the consumer credit framework that already applies to many personal loans and credit products. For borrowers, the practical message is simple: short-term convenience is being matched with stronger scrutiny around affordability, hardship support and responsible lending. Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! - read more

Why Personal Loan Pricing Is Still Uneven for Australians

12 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent personal loan market updates suggest Australian borrowers are seeing more competition in some parts of the lending market, but the benefits are not being shared evenly. Secured borrowers with stable income and strong repayment histories may find sharper advertised rates, while people applying for unsecured loans, short term loans or specialist bad credit loans still face a more complicated pricing picture. - read more

Why loan affordability matters as rate pressure lingers

04 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent personal lending updates from Australia’s loan comparison market suggest borrowers are still facing a mixed environment. While some advertised rates have become more competitive, unsecured personal loan pricing remains uneven, especially for applicants who do not fit a mainstream bank profile. For Australians with limited credit history, casual income, self-employment or past repayment issues, the headline rate is only one part of the decision. - read more

Debt Consolidation Demand Rises as Households Juggle Repayments

28 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Debt consolidation is moving back into focus as Australians continue to balance higher living costs, credit card balances, buy now pay later commitments and personal loan repayments. Recent finance sector commentary suggests more borrowers are looking for ways to simplify their debts, not necessarily to borrow more, but to make existing obligations easier to manage. - read more

ASIC’s Private Credit Warning: What It Means for Borrowers

21 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s fast-growing private credit market is again under the regulatory spotlight, with ASIC warning that borrowers, investors and superannuation members may be more exposed to private lending risks than many realise. The latest concern centres on a sector that has expanded as banks have become more selective, especially in areas such as property development, construction finance and specialist business lending. - read more

HSBC Penalty Puts Scam Protection Back in the Spotlight

23 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

HSBC Bank Australia has been ordered to pay a $35 million penalty after admitting serious failures in how it protected customers from scams. The case is significant because it moves beyond warning consumers to be alert and places stronger focus on the systems banks use to detect, prevent and respond to unauthorised transactions. - read more

Surge in Personal Loan Borrowing as Australians Face Rising Living Costs

16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In the first quarter of 2026, Australians borrowed a record $5.1 billion in new personal loans, reflecting the mounting financial pressures from escalating living costs. This significant increase underscores the challenges many individuals face in managing daily expenses. - read more

OnDeck Boosts Lightning Loan Limits to Empower Australian SMEs

16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

OnDeck Australia has announced an increase in its Lightning Loan limits, now offering up to $300,000 in unsecured funding for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). This enhancement aims to meet the growing demand for quick and accessible business financing. - read more

Australian Businesses Show Renewed Confidence with Increased Credit Demand

16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In December 2025, Australian businesses demonstrated a significant increase in credit demand, with applications rising by 5.1% compared to the previous year. This uptick suggests a shift from cautious financial management to proactive investment in growth and expansion. - read more

Click for more Finance News