No Credit Check :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season?w=400

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.

Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.

In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.

“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.”

Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.

Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,” explained Rumbens.

The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.

The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.

The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.

Amidst this “new normal” of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.

Published:Sunday, 1st Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Rate this article

0 Comments

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.

Finance News

RIC's New Financial Support for Australia's Primary Producers
RIC's New Financial Support for Australia's Primary Producers
09 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
The Regional Investment Corporation (RIC) has announced the introduction of two new low-interest loan products aimed at supporting Australian farmers and fishers grappling with the adverse effects of drought and harmful algal blooms. This initiative reflects the government's commitment to bolstering the resilience of the nation's primary producers in the face of environmental challenges. - read more
Dashdot's Sudden Collapse: Impact on Australian Property Investors
Dashdot's Sudden Collapse: Impact on Australian Property Investors
09 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
In a significant development within Australia's property investment sector, buyer's agency Dashdot has collapsed, leaving hundreds of clients financially impacted. This event has raised serious concerns about the practices and stability of buyer's agencies operating in the country. - read more
AFIA Endorses Federal Budget's Commitment to SME Support
AFIA Endorses Federal Budget's Commitment to SME Support
09 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Finance Industry Association (AFIA) has expressed strong support for the Federal Budget's emphasis on small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) support, regulatory reform, and economic resilience. This endorsement highlights the critical role of SMEs in Australia's economy and the necessity for policies that foster their growth and sustainability. - read more
APRA Implements New Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans
APRA Implements New Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans
25 May 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 1, 2026, APRA will impose a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting such loans to 20% of new home lending portfolios. This measure is designed to address concerns over escalating property prices and the potential for financial instability. - read more
ASIC Calls for Improved Consumer Protections in Car Finance Sector
ASIC Calls for Improved Consumer Protections in Car Finance Sector
25 May 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has conducted a comprehensive review of the motor vehicle finance sector, uncovering significant deficiencies in lenders' oversight of car finance distributors. This scrutiny has revealed problematic sales tactics and a lack of regular audits, prompting ASIC to call for immediate improvements to protect consumers. - read more
Cigno Australia Penalised $7 Million for Unlawful Payday Lending Practices
Cigno Australia Penalised $7 Million for Unlawful Payday Lending Practices
17 May 2026: Paige Estritori
In a significant enforcement action, the Federal Court has imposed a $7 million penalty on Cigno Australia and BSF Solutions for operating an illegal payday lending scheme that contravened Australian credit laws. Each company has been fined $3 million, while their respective directors, Mark Swanepoel and Brenton Harrison, have been ordered to pay $500,000 each. - read more
APRA Implements Debt-to-Income Limits to Mitigate Housing Market Risks
APRA Implements Debt-to-Income Limits to Mitigate Housing Market Risks
17 May 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced the activation of debt-to-income (DTI) limits as a macroprudential policy tool, effective from 1 February 2026. This measure aims to preemptively address potential vulnerabilities in the housing market by constraining high-risk lending practices. - read more
Non-Bank Lenders Intensify Court Actions as SME Lending Dynamics Shift
Non-Bank Lenders Intensify Court Actions as SME Lending Dynamics Shift
17 May 2026: Paige Estritori
Recent data indicates a significant increase in court-enforced insolvencies initiated by non-bank lenders, highlighting a shift in the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) lending landscape. As major banks retreat from SME lending, non-bank lenders have stepped in to fill the void, leading to a rise in legal actions to recover funds from defaulting borrowers. - read more
ASIC's Interim Stop Order on City Finance Lending's SACC Product
ASIC's Interim Stop Order on City Finance Lending's SACC Product
09 May 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has taken regulatory action against City Finance Lending Pty Ltd by issuing an interim stop order on its small amount credit contract (SACC) product. This decision stems from concerns over deficiencies in the company's target market determination (TMD). - read more
Rising Non-Bank Lending: Regulatory Bodies Intensify Oversight
Rising Non-Bank Lending: Regulatory Bodies Intensify Oversight
09 May 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian financial landscape is witnessing a notable shift as non-bank lenders expand their market share, prompting increased scrutiny from regulatory bodies such as the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). This growth raises concerns about potential risks to financial stability due to the sector's less stringent regulatory framework compared to traditional banks. - read more


Finance Articles

How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious
How to Use Loan Comparison Tools Effectively - A Guide for the Credit-Conscious
When it comes to securing a loan, the terms you agree to can have a lasting impact on your financial wellness. It's crucial to strike a balance between finding a loan that fits your needs and maintaining a healthy credit score. This delicate equilibrium is where loan comparison tools come into play, serving as navigational aids in the vast sea of credit options. - read more
The Importance of an Emergency Fund: A Guide for Families
The Importance of an Emergency Fund: A Guide for Families
Let's dive into the essential topic of emergency funds. An emergency fund is a stash of money set aside to cover the financial surprises life throws your way. These unexpected events can include sudden unplanned repairs, medical emergencies, or job loss. - read more
How to Use Credit Cards Wisely to Enhance Your Credit Score
How to Use Credit Cards Wisely to Enhance Your Credit Score
Your credit score is more than just a number; it's a reflection of your financial health. Essentially, it’s a numerical expression that represents your creditworthiness. Lenders use this score to assess the level of risk involved in lending you money. - read more
Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage
Loan Hunting with Confidence: How to Check Options Without Credit Damage
Embarking on the journey to secure a loan can feel like navigating a minefield with your credit score as the prize. It's no secret that your credit score is your financial fingerprint, impacting not just your loan prospects but also the terms you're offered. However, the act of loan hunting itself, if not done carefully, can take a toll on this crucial number. - read more
Understanding Soft Inquiries: How to Check Loan Options Without Affecting Your Credit Score
Understanding Soft Inquiries: How to Check Loan Options Without Affecting Your Credit Score
Soft inquiries are a type of credit check that does not impact your credit score. These checks occur when you or a company reviews your credit report as part of a background check, pre-approval process, or other non-lending purpose. - read more
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more
Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan
Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan
Understanding the nuances of financial health is a crucial component in the journey of loan acquisition. It is the bedrock on which potential borrowers build their case for credibility and reliability. Among the myriad of factors influencing your fiscal stability, credit scores stand out as a beacon indicating your creditworthiness to lenders. A robust credit score simplifies the path to securing loans, garnering favorable interest rates, and negotiating better terms. - read more
Top 5 Mistakes That Damage Your Credit Score and How to Avoid Them
Top 5 Mistakes That Damage Your Credit Score and How to Avoid Them
Maintaining a healthy credit score is crucial for anyone looking to secure their financial future. A good credit score can open doors to better loan rates, more favourable credit card terms, and even housing opportunities. It's something that impacts many major financial decisions you make in life. Without a solid score, you might end up paying more in interest and find it harder to get approval for the things you really need. - read more
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
When embarking on the journey to secure financing, particularly for significant purchases such as a car, your credit score takes center stage in the eyes of lenders. A credit score is a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, derived from your financial history and behaviors. It wields substantial influence on your ability to acquire loans with favorable terms. - read more
Steps to Take Immediately During a Financial Crisis: A Credit-Friendly Approach
Steps to Take Immediately During a Financial Crisis: A Credit-Friendly Approach
A financial crisis can come in many forms, such as a job loss, unexpected medical bills, or an economic downturn. These events can drastically alter your financial stability and may lead to financial distress. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!
Loan Amount:
Postcode:

All quotes are provided obligation-free by a participating broker from our national referral partner network. We respect your Privacy.

All finance quotes are provided free and without obligation. We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Monetary Policy:
The actions of a central bank or other regulatory authority that determine the size and rate of growth of the money supply.


Quick Links: | No Credit Check Loans | Personal Loans No Credit Check | Bad Credit Loans | Business Loans No Credit Check | Fast Cash Loans Australia | Unsecured Loans | Guaranteed Approval Loans | Short Term Loans | Emergency Loans | Same Day Loans