No Credit Check :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season?w=400

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.

Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.

In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.

“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.”

Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.

Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,” explained Rumbens.

The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.

The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.

The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.

Amidst this “new normal” of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.

Published:Sunday, 1st Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Rate this article

0 Comments

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.

Finance News

Buy Now Pay Later Rules Are Changing for Australian Borrowers
Buy Now Pay Later Rules Are Changing for Australian Borrowers
19 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori
Australia's buy now pay later sector is moving into a more regulated era, with providers being brought closer to the consumer credit framework that already applies to many personal loans and credit products. For borrowers, the practical message is simple: short-term convenience is being matched with stronger scrutiny around affordability, hardship support and responsible lending. Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! - read more
Why Personal Loan Pricing Is Still Uneven for Australians
Why Personal Loan Pricing Is Still Uneven for Australians
12 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori
Recent personal loan market updates suggest Australian borrowers are seeing more competition in some parts of the lending market, but the benefits are not being shared evenly. Secured borrowers with stable income and strong repayment histories may find sharper advertised rates, while people applying for unsecured loans, short term loans or specialist bad credit loans still face a more complicated pricing picture. - read more
Why loan affordability matters as rate pressure lingers
Why loan affordability matters as rate pressure lingers
04 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori
Recent personal lending updates from Australia’s loan comparison market suggest borrowers are still facing a mixed environment. While some advertised rates have become more competitive, unsecured personal loan pricing remains uneven, especially for applicants who do not fit a mainstream bank profile. For Australians with limited credit history, casual income, self-employment or past repayment issues, the headline rate is only one part of the decision. - read more
Debt Consolidation Demand Rises as Households Juggle Repayments
Debt Consolidation Demand Rises as Households Juggle Repayments
28 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori
Debt consolidation is moving back into focus as Australians continue to balance higher living costs, credit card balances, buy now pay later commitments and personal loan repayments. Recent finance sector commentary suggests more borrowers are looking for ways to simplify their debts, not necessarily to borrow more, but to make existing obligations easier to manage. - read more
ASIC’s Private Credit Warning: What It Means for Borrowers
ASIC’s Private Credit Warning: What It Means for Borrowers
21 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori
Australia’s fast-growing private credit market is again under the regulatory spotlight, with ASIC warning that borrowers, investors and superannuation members may be more exposed to private lending risks than many realise. The latest concern centres on a sector that has expanded as banks have become more selective, especially in areas such as property development, construction finance and specialist business lending. - read more
HSBC Penalty Puts Scam Protection Back in the Spotlight
HSBC Penalty Puts Scam Protection Back in the Spotlight
23 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
HSBC Bank Australia has been ordered to pay a $35 million penalty after admitting serious failures in how it protected customers from scams. The case is significant because it moves beyond warning consumers to be alert and places stronger focus on the systems banks use to detect, prevent and respond to unauthorised transactions. - read more
Surge in Personal Loan Borrowing as Australians Face Rising Living Costs
Surge in Personal Loan Borrowing as Australians Face Rising Living Costs
16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
In the first quarter of 2026, Australians borrowed a record $5.1 billion in new personal loans, reflecting the mounting financial pressures from escalating living costs. This significant increase underscores the challenges many individuals face in managing daily expenses. - read more
OnDeck Boosts Lightning Loan Limits to Empower Australian SMEs
OnDeck Boosts Lightning Loan Limits to Empower Australian SMEs
16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
OnDeck Australia has announced an increase in its Lightning Loan limits, now offering up to $300,000 in unsecured funding for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). This enhancement aims to meet the growing demand for quick and accessible business financing. - read more
Australian Businesses Show Renewed Confidence with Increased Credit Demand
Australian Businesses Show Renewed Confidence with Increased Credit Demand
16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
In December 2025, Australian businesses demonstrated a significant increase in credit demand, with applications rising by 5.1% compared to the previous year. This uptick suggests a shift from cautious financial management to proactive investment in growth and expansion. - read more
RIC's New Financial Support for Australia's Primary Producers
RIC's New Financial Support for Australia's Primary Producers
09 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori
The Regional Investment Corporation (RIC) has announced the introduction of two new low-interest loan products aimed at supporting Australian farmers and fishers grappling with the adverse effects of drought and harmful algal blooms. This initiative reflects the government's commitment to bolstering the resilience of the nation's primary producers in the face of environmental challenges. - read more


Finance Articles

Navigating Financial Uncertainty: Tips for Managing Money Worries
Navigating Financial Uncertainty: Tips for Managing Money Worries
Financial stress is a common issue that affects a large portion of individuals, often due to unexpected expenses, unemployment, or a high cost of living. It can lead to both mental and emotional strain, influencing one's quality of life and decision-making abilities. Credit scores, a critical measurement of financial health, are used by lenders to evaluate the risk of lending money. - read more
How to Create a Budget That Keeps Your Debt in Check
How to Create a Budget That Keeps Your Debt in Check
A clear budget can help you understand where your money goes, plan loan and credit card repayments, and reduce the risk of taking on more debt when expenses change. This guide explains practical budgeting steps, debt repayment methods and review habits that can support better day-to-day money management. - read more
What to Do if You've Been Denied a Loan Due to Your Credit Score
What to Do if You've Been Denied a Loan Due to Your Credit Score
Your credit score is a critical number that plays a significant role in your financial life. It represents your creditworthiness, or in simpler terms, how reliable you are in repaying borrowed money. - read more
Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding Your Credit Footprint: Borrowing Strategies to Keep Your Score Intact
Understanding the mechanics behind credit scores is pivotal for anyone navigating the intricate world of finance. A strong credit score does not only unlock the gates to a plethora of borrowing options but also secures favorable interest rates, which can save you a substantial amount of money over time. It acts as a financial passport, one that enables you to achieve milestones such as purchasing a home or car with ease. - read more
How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly
How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly
Financial health refers to the state of one's personal financial situation. It encompasses a variety of factors, such as income stability, expenses control, savings, investments, and debt management. - read more
How to Use Credit Cards Wisely to Enhance Your Credit Score
How to Use Credit Cards Wisely to Enhance Your Credit Score
Your credit score is more than just a number; it's a reflection of your financial health. Essentially, it’s a numerical expression that represents your creditworthiness. Lenders use this score to assess the level of risk involved in lending you money. - read more
How No-Credit-Check Loan Assessments Work in Australia
How No-Credit-Check Loan Assessments Work in Australia
No-credit-check loans in Australia can be misunderstood. This guide explains what the term may mean, what lenders may still assess, and how to approach these loans with care. - read more
Debt Management Tips for Young Adults in Australia
Debt Management Tips for Young Adults in Australia
Managing debt early in adult life can make day-to-day money decisions easier and help build a more stable financial foundation. This guide explains practical ways to understand what you owe, create a workable budget, choose a repayment strategy, use credit carefully and know when to seek professional support. - read more
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more
Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments
Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments
Managing personal finances judiciously becomes paramount when dealing with loans and their repayments. A potential obstacle many encounter is preserving or enhancing their credit score while simultaneously undertaking the necessary financial commitments of loan repayments. Understanding how to navigate this terrain is vital to financial health. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!

Loan Amount:

Postcode:

All quotes are provided obligation-free by a participating broker from our national referral partner network. We respect your Privacy.

All finance quotes are provided free and without obligation. We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Second Mortgage:
A type of subordinate mortgage made while an original mortgage is still in effect.


Quick Links: | No Credit Check Loans | Personal Loans No Credit Check | Bad Credit Loans | Business Loans No Credit Check | Fast Cash Loans Australia | Unsecured Loans | Guaranteed Approval Loans | Short Term Loans | Emergency Loans | Same Day Loans