No Credit Check :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season?w=400

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.

Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.

In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.

“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.”

Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.

Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,” explained Rumbens.

The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.

The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.

The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.

Amidst this “new normal” of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.

Published:Sunday, 1st Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

APRA's New Limits on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans Explained
APRA's New Limits on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans Explained
30 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will impose a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting such loans to 20% of new home lending portfolios. This measure is designed to address concerns over escalating property prices and the potential for financial instability. - read more
ANZ Implements Stricter Lending Policies for Trusts and Companies
ANZ Implements Stricter Lending Policies for Trusts and Companies
30 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
ANZ Bank has recently introduced more stringent criteria for mortgage lending to trusts and companies, aligning with similar moves by other major Australian lenders. Effective January 8, 2026, these changes reflect a broader industry response to regulatory concerns over high-risk lending practices. - read more
ASIC's Call for Enhanced Standards in the Private Lending Sector
ASIC's Call for Enhanced Standards in the Private Lending Sector
30 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has issued a stern warning to the private lending sector, highlighting the need for improved industry practices to protect consumers and maintain financial stability. This move comes amid growing concerns over inconsistent reporting, opaque fee structures, and potential risks within the sector. - read more
BNK Banking Corporation Ventures into Structured Credit with Innovative Funding Platform
BNK Banking Corporation Ventures into Structured Credit with Innovative Funding Platform
22 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
BNK Banking Corporation Limited (BNK) has announced its foray into structured finance by backing a syndicated senior secured warehouse facility. This strategic move enables a burgeoning Australian non-bank lender to access funding through a facility secured by high-quality receivables. BNK's acquisition of senior notes in this warehouse aligns with its broader strategy to establish a foothold in asset-backed lending and private credit. - read more
ASIC Raises Red Flags Over Practices in Australia's Private Lending Industry
ASIC Raises Red Flags Over Practices in Australia's Private Lending Industry
22 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has conducted a comprehensive review of the private lending sector, revealing significant concerns regarding inconsistent practices, unclear reporting, and potential risks to investors. This scrutiny comes in response to the rapid growth of private credit in Australia, which has expanded by 500% over the past decade, reaching approximately $200 billion in loans. - read more
Allied Credit Bolsters Market Presence with Acquisition of Macquarie's Car Loan Portfolio
Allied Credit Bolsters Market Presence with Acquisition of Macquarie's Car Loan Portfolio
22 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
Allied Credit, a leading independent financier in Australia, has announced the acquisition of a $1.5 billion car loan and novated leasing portfolio from Macquarie Group's Banking and Financial Services division. This strategic acquisition aligns with Allied Credit's vision to become a high-performance financier in the Australian auto finance industry. - read more
NAB Predicts Consecutive RBA Rate Hikes: What Borrowers Should Know
NAB Predicts Consecutive RBA Rate Hikes: What Borrowers Should Know
14 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
National Australia Bank (NAB) economists have revised their interest rate forecasts, now expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to implement additional rate hikes in both March and May. This adjustment suggests a potential peak cash rate of 4.35%, reflecting concerns over robust economic growth, a tight labour market, and persistent inflationary pressures. - read more
ASX 200 Faces Decline: Navigating Market Volatility
ASX 200 Faces Decline: Navigating Market Volatility
14 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) 200 experienced a significant decline, dropping 1.42% to 9,069 points. This downturn is attributed to a combination of investor profit-taking, escalating Middle East conflicts, and a hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). - read more
AFCA Grants Indefinite Extension for Superannuation Complaints
AFCA Grants Indefinite Extension for Superannuation Complaints
06 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
The Australian Financial Complaints Authority (AFCA) has announced an indefinite extension to the deadline for lodging complaints related to collapsed superannuation funds. This decision aims to provide additional time for affected individuals to seek redress, acknowledging that many victims have yet to come forward. - read more
RBA Signals Possible Interest Rate Increase Amid Oil Price Surge
RBA Signals Possible Interest Rate Increase Amid Oil Price Surge
06 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is contemplating a potential increase in interest rates, prompted by a significant rise in oil prices and the associated inflationary pressures. Governor Michele Bullock has indicated that the possibility of a rate hike is 'live' for the upcoming meeting, as the central bank assesses the economic impact of recent geopolitical events. - read more


Finance Articles

Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan
Budgeting Basics to Keep Your Credit Score Healthy While Seeking a Loan
Understanding the nuances of financial health is a crucial component in the journey of loan acquisition. It is the bedrock on which potential borrowers build their case for credibility and reliability. Among the myriad of factors influencing your fiscal stability, credit scores stand out as a beacon indicating your creditworthiness to lenders. A robust credit score simplifies the path to securing loans, garnering favorable interest rates, and negotiating better terms. - read more
Top 5 Mistakes That Damage Your Credit Score and How to Avoid Them
Top 5 Mistakes That Damage Your Credit Score and How to Avoid Them
Maintaining a healthy credit score is crucial for anyone looking to secure their financial future. A good credit score can open doors to better loan rates, more favourable credit card terms, and even housing opportunities. It's something that impacts many major financial decisions you make in life. Without a solid score, you might end up paying more in interest and find it harder to get approval for the things you really need. - read more
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
Understanding Soft Credit Checks: Safeguard Your Score During Loan Comparison
When embarking on the journey to secure financing, particularly for significant purchases such as a car, your credit score takes center stage in the eyes of lenders. A credit score is a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, derived from your financial history and behaviors. It wields substantial influence on your ability to acquire loans with favorable terms. - read more
How Your Credit Score Affects Loan Approval and Interest Rates
How Your Credit Score Affects Loan Approval and Interest Rates
Your credit score is a crucial part of your financial health. Essentially, it’s a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, calculated based on your credit history. In Australia, credit scores range from 0 to 1200, with a higher score indicating better creditworthiness. - read more
How to Use Credit Cards Wisely to Enhance Your Credit Score
How to Use Credit Cards Wisely to Enhance Your Credit Score
Your credit score is more than just a number; it's a reflection of your financial health. Essentially, it’s a numerical expression that represents your creditworthiness. Lenders use this score to assess the level of risk involved in lending you money. - read more
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding Your Credit File: How to Seek Loans without Negative Impacts
Understanding financial health is paramount when venturing into the realm of loan acquisition. It's the backbone that supports not just your immediate monetary requirements but ensures longevity in your fiscal stability. At the heart of this understanding lies a critical aspect: the credit score. It's a numerical representation of your financial trustworthiness, influenced by past fiscal decisions and behaviors. - read more
Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments
Savvy Spending: Innovative Budgeting Tips for Smooth Loan Repayments
Managing personal finances judiciously becomes paramount when dealing with loans and their repayments. A potential obstacle many encounter is preserving or enhancing their credit score while simultaneously undertaking the necessary financial commitments of loan repayments. Understanding how to navigate this terrain is vital to financial health. - read more
How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly
How to Improve Your Financial Health and Secure Loans Effortlessly
Financial health refers to the state of one's personal financial situation. It encompasses a variety of factors, such as income stability, expenses control, savings, investments, and debt management. - read more
Steps to Take Immediately During a Financial Crisis: A Credit-Friendly Approach
Steps to Take Immediately During a Financial Crisis: A Credit-Friendly Approach
A financial crisis can come in many forms, such as a job loss, unexpected medical bills, or an economic downturn. These events can drastically alter your financial stability and may lead to financial distress. - read more
Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know
Maximize Your Loan Options without a Credit Footprint: Strategies to Know
As we navigate the complexities of today's economy, the significance of credit can scarcely be overstated. Whether we're considering a home mortgage, a new car, or managing our personal finances, our credit health often dictates the terms and accessibility of financial support. A robust credit score can open doors to favorable loan terms and rates, while a poor score can narrow our options and cost us more in the long run. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!
Loan Amount:
Postcode:

All quotes are provided obligation-free by a participating broker from our national referral partner network. We respect your Privacy.

All finance quotes are provided free and without obligation. We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Home Equity Loan:
A loan in which the borrower uses the equity of their home as collateral.


Quick Links: | No Credit Check Loans | Personal Loans No Credit Check | Bad Credit Loans | Business Loans No Credit Check | Fast Cash Loans Australia | Unsecured Loans | Guaranteed Approval Loans | Short Term Loans | Emergency Loans | Same Day Loans